Military Robots: No Reason to Freak Out
2013/03/17 Leave a comment
As a robotic warfare veteran, there are three common misperceptions about the use of robots in warfare that I’d like to address.
Misperception #1: There is some sort of ethical quandary or challenge in using robotic weapons.
There is no controversy about the legality or ethics of current and contemplated robotic weapons. The controversy is manufactured. There are legitimate concerns about the ethics of the campaigns these weapons are used in. Western law and ethics tell us that necessity (a true and ethical need to attack a target), proportionality (minimizing unnecessary destruction), and discrimination (minimizing the destruction targets that are prohibited or non-combatant) are all required for legal and moral use of force. Despite the ceaseless talk of civilian casualties, robots and drones enable unprecedented proportionality and discrimination. The statistical record of even the most controversial program shows that these systems are among the most precise and humane weapons in history.

An RQ-7B “Shadow” unmanned aircraft from the author’s unit exhibiting icing from operations in Afghanistan.
Having seen the war in Afghanistan, I am sympathetic to the idea that the United States has gone too far in the Global War on Terror. However, resorting to debate over the means obscures the real question we face as a democracy: Should we be engaged in this war at all? If we decide that we should be engaged in war, robotic weapons represent a huge improvement in almost all ways over 19 year olds with automatic weapons.
I saw first-hand how horrible this path is. When troops of the 82nd Airborne Division (one of the most elite in the U.S. Army) came to relieve my brigade, the first thing they did was shoot a farmer because he was “armed” with a shovel. I could go on about the pregnant women, families, and the doctors shot at by convoys and check points, the botched raids by uber-elite units… Let us not delude ourselves: no matter how it is conducted, war is a horrible, disgusting business. If the alternative to war is so horrible that a war is justified, our values demand that we conduct war with most proportionality and discrimination that we muster. With a drone strike, the decisions are being made with better intelligence, certainty of review, in places removed from the fear and chaos of a firefight, and in accordance with procedures. So much so that lawyers literally stand with the commanders ordering a drone strike to review it before it happens.
Misperception #2: Drones and robots will change the way that militaries relate to societies.
Some inventions change the way that militaries and societies relate by changing who is in charge and how society will be managed. For example, the Phalanx allowed the first rise of democratic society, the mounted knight enforced feudalism, and electronic and atomic weapons required the creation of the bureaucratic state. Other inventions change warfare for soldiers but do not affect how the military relates to society. Britannia ruled the seas under both sail and steam, and the flintlock was replaced by the percussion cap, but societies didn’t have to evolve as a result. The entry of robotics into warfare will likely not change the relation of militaries to societies. Robotics are a natural growth of and response to precision weapons. The same classes of people and similar organizations are needed for both robotic and precision weapons systems. Military robotics are the next stage of development for weapons we’ve had for the whole electronic age. If the surveillance state becomes a reality, it will be cellphones – not drones – that bring it about.
Misperception #3: Military organizations will continue on as before with robotic weapons
Lost in the sound and fury about drones is an understanding of their true nature for the military. The value of a military drone is not in weapons, hours of endurance, or even keeping pilots out of harm’s way. The value is in giving the commander and his staff the most information-privileged position on the battlefield. Especially on the fast-moving, post-WWI, mechanized battlefield, commanders had to be close to the main effort to make the best decisions. Forces were positioned and organized to support the maneuver of the main effort.
Contemporary technology, particularly networks and robotics, pushes the military in other directions. Information is most available at network hubs where information from multiple sources can be fused by a staff. Forces are spread out to guard and support dispersed operations. Smaller groups and smaller platforms are more capable when used in conjunction with supporting networks. Even services that have used drones and robots extensively have not found the optimum model for organizing and supervising the systems they will need on the battlefield of the future. The political and budgetary systems that oversee the military have not grasped how resources need to be allocated to make the forces of the future.
Even the Navy Has Market Risk (they just call it something else)
2012/11/08 by Robert Morris Leave a comment
My long awaited article in Proceedings just came out! You might not have been waiting for it, but I have! I started the article over a year ago. It was a slog. I can’t quite believe that I’m now signing up to publish an academic paper on the capital structure of robotics companies.
Image Credit: DTIC
In summary, the U.S. Navy is making a terrible mistake in it unmanned maritime vehicle policy. The Navy is basically designing all their programs for robots that swim in the water to fail. The technology exists today to make really cool, useful maritime robots. However, the technology does not exist today to build the Navy’s dream robots. (Especially since the Navy’s secret dream is to need more manned ships of the type we have today.) Essentially, the Navy is pulling the equivalent of refusing to look at Roomba because it is not Rosie.
I’ll try and expand upon some of the key ideas from the paper over the next couple of weeks. Readers of this blog will be familiar with the core ideas which have been translated from business to military jargon. The Navy has to figure out what it needs its robots to do and the ecosystem around them at the same time that it is working on building the systems. That’s what we in business call market risk! The Navy needs to take some steps to reduce that risk. Although the defense acquisition process stacks the deck against the Navy and it has some truly heroic individuals working on the problem, as an institution, the Navy really isn’t putting forth an adequate showing considering we’re talking about the institution’s future.
As a patriotic citizen of the United States–and as someone who understands that the U.S. Navy as much any institution on the planet has guaranteed an era of global trade, peace, and freedom–I really want our Navy to have a bright future. Everyone who studies the naval budget–horses and bayonets snark aside–knows that the Navy isn’t on a sustainable path. Robotics offer the Navy a future even brighter than the past. To have this future, the Navy will have to learn how to manage and implement this technology. It won’t be easy, but there are solid principles for doing this.
P.S.
Also, readers, I want to thank you. Thank you for being patient with a terrible layout, a casual tone, mixed quantitative/qualitative arguments, poor citation, and irregular tables. I do want you to know that you are reading a blog whose underlying ideas are good enough to go through peer review. I, for one, commend you for that. I hope that the ideas have a practical impact in advancing robotics that improve the world. Now, stop indulging my self-congratulation and get back to putting more robots into the world!
Filed under Commentary, Policy Tagged with budget, maritime, Navy, policy, robot, robotic, shipbuilding, ships, systems development, UMV, unmanned, unmanned systems, USV, UUV